Product News
“Trading idea”: Spotify – Faded Sounds
Mini-Future Long on Spotify Technology SA
Daniel Ek celebrates his 20th anniversary at Spotify on April 1, 2026. He founded the streaming service in Stockholm in 2006 and has been with the company ever since. As a major shareholder and CEO of the company, which is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, the 42-year-old Swede is one of the richest people in the world. This does not detract from his ambition: Spotify is currently expanding into video podcasts and audio books and is focusing on artificial intelligence, for example for personalized playlists.
In this way, Spotify is succeeding in attracting more and more users and asserting itself against well-funded competitors such as Apple and Amazon.com. In the first quarter of 2025, the service had 268 million premium subscribers, an increase of 12% compared to the same period last year. Never before has there been such a strong influx into the paid service in a first quarter. 423 million music, podcast and audiobook fans used ad-supported access at least once a month. This was 9% more than at the beginning of 2024. The total number of monthly active users (MAUs) from January to March was 678 million, a tenth higher than in the first three months of last year.
“User growth exceeded Wall Street expectations, but Spotify’s outlook was gloomy.”
While the development on the user side exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, Spotify’s outlook was a minor disappointment. For the current quarter, the CEO expects an operating result of USD 539 million. He has factored in USD 18 million in social security contributions, which depend on the share price at the end of March. Due to this effect, which is attributable to share-based payments, the outlook was below expectations. Analysts had expected an operating profit of USD 557.5 million by the payment date for the second quarter of 2025.
The initial disappointment was quickly forgotten. Spotify started June with a new record high of USD 674.02. On Wall Street, the company is benefiting from its reputation as a “tariff-proof stock” – a label given to shares that are less susceptible to trade conflicts. One example: While other tech giants such as Apple are suffering badly from the effects of tariffs, video streaming provider Netflix is hitting an all-time high.
The majority of analysts continue to rate Spotify shares positively. 26 of the 40 ratings documented by Reuters are “buy”. From a technical chart perspective, the traffic light is also green: Spotify is about to break out above the horizontal resistance in the USD 650 range. Traders can go long with the Mini-Future with ISIN CH1452870376 to bet that the share will move towards USD 700. BNP Paribas recently started trading this product on Swiss DOTS. At 3.96, the leverage is relatively moderate. However, this does not change the fact that disproportionate losses are imminent as soon as new minor tones emerge and the share turns downwards.
Product information*
| ISIN | CH1452870376 |
| Product type | Mini-Future Long |
| Underlying | Spotify Technology SA |
| Issuer | BNP Paribas |
| Rating | A+ (S&P) |
| Trading currency | CHF |
| First trading day | 21.05.2025 |
| Maturity | open-end |
| Underlying | USD |
| Leverage* | 3.96 |
| Stop loss* | CHF 601.69 |
| Financing level* | CHF 501.52 |
| Ask* | CHF 13.95 |
| Exchange | Swiss DOTS |
| Weblink | payoff.ch/CH1452870376 |
Spotify share price performance
