Product News
Emergency braking as an opportunity?
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Serge Nussbaumer
Chefredaktor
The data analysis specialist has recently seen noticeable profit-taking for various reasons. Risk-tolerant investors can bet on a rebound at the reduced level.
Mini Future Long on Palantir
Alex Karp’s name has been quite prominent in the media these days. The head of Palantir is riding a wave of success in operational terms and his latest forecast caused the share price to skyrocket. The 57-year-old is also an author and has sparked a heated debate with his new book, in which he criticizes Silicon Valley for its greed for profit. But Karp himself also seems to have succumbed to the allure of money. He recently announced his intention to sell around 10 million shares worth around USD 1 billion over the next six months.
Not only the announced sale of shares, but also fears that the new US government could make cuts to the defense budget were a sour note for the stock market. After all, these could have a direct impact on Palantir, as the company offers services for governments such as software for visualizing army positions. More than 40% of its turnover is generated with Washington alone. In addition, the Chinese AI chatbot DeepSeek sent shockwaves through the industry. This mix of news sent the Palantir share plummeting. Since its high in mid-February, the share price has fallen by around a third. However, this was preceded by a spectacular rally with a price increase of over 600% within a year.
“Alex Karp, CEO of Palantir, causes a stir with a positive forecast and the sale of 10 million shares worth around USD 1 billion.”
Following the setback, it is now time to reassess the situation and reassess the potential of the company co-founded by tech billionaire Peter Thiel. Operationally, the curve is pointing steeply upwards. At the beginning of February, Palantir raised its revenue forecast for the current quarter and the year as a whole. Revenues of between USD 858 million and USD 862 million are forecast for the first quarter –
analysts had only expected USD 799.4 million. For 2025, Palantir anticipates sales of between USD 3.74 and USD 3.76 billion – analysts had expected an average of USD 3.52 billion. Growth is expected to be driven primarily by the AIP platform for artificial intelligence. US President Donald Trump’s new tariffs are also likely to benefit the data analysis specialist. These could help to boost demand for analytics services relating to supply chain management and logistics. And on closer inspection, Karp’s planned share sales need not be red flags: after all, the 10 million shares only represent around 10% of its total Palantir holdings.
Risk-tolerant investors who would like to bet on a comeback of the Palantier share can invest in a mini-future long into consideration. The stop loss is placed at USD 75,509 and thus at a distance of a good 13%. Despite the comfortable risk buffer, the leverage is still 4.7. The product, which is listed on SwissDOTS, can be traded between 8 a.m. and 10 p.m. every trading day.
Product information*
| ISIN | CH1418872607 |
| Product type | Mini Future Long |
| Underlying | Palantir |
| Issuer | BNP Paribas |
| Rating | A+ (S&P) |
| Trading currency | CHF |
| First trading day | 26.02.2025 |
| Runtime | open-end |
| Underlying | USD |
| Lever* | 4.74 |
| Stop loss* | USD 75.09 |
| Financing level* | USD 68,214 |
| Ask price* | CHF 1.65 |
| Trading center | Swiss DOTS |
| Weblink | payoff.ch/CH1418872607 |
Palantir share price performance
